Party vote
Adjust the party vote below.
96.6% allocated · 3.4% wasted
- National
- Labour
- Green
- ACT
- NZ First
- Te Pāti Māoriunder 5%
- Opportunityunder 5%
National can govern with the support of ACT and New Zealand First
National + ACT + NZ First
67/61
Majority
Labour + Green + TPM
53/61
8 short
Opportunity
0/61
61 short
120 seats in the House. Majority is 61.
| Party | Vote | Elec. | List | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National | 38.1% | 46 | 2 | 48+0 |
| Labour | 26.9% | 17 | 17 | 34+0 |
| Green | 11.6% | 3 | 12 | 15+0 |
| ACT | 8.6% | 1 | 10 | 11+0 |
| NZ First | 6.1% | 0 | 8 | 8+0 |
| Te Pāti Māori | 3.1% | 4 | 0 | 4-2 |
| Opportunityout | 2.2% | 0 | 0 | 0+0 |
Next list seat: Te Pāti Māori needs about 0.5pp more party vote.
Projected House
120 MPs from electorate wins and party lists.
Te Pāti Māori
4- Oriini KaiparaTāmaki Makaurau
- Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-ClarkeHauraki-Waikato
- Rawiri WaititiWaiariki
- Debbie Ngarewa-PackerTe Tai Hauāuru
Green
15- Chlöe SwarbrickAuckland Central
- Tamatha PaulWellington North
- Julie Anne GenterWellington Bays
- Marama DavidsonList 1
- Teanau TuionoList 3
- Lan PhamList 6
- Hūhana LyndonList 7
- Lawrence Xu-NanList 8
- Ricardo Menéndez MarchList 9
- Francisco HernandezList 10
- Kahurangi CarterList 11
- Steve AbelList 12
- Tania WaikatonewList 13
- Craig PaulingnewList 14
- Scott WillisList 15
Labour
34- Carmel SepuloniGlendene
- Phil TwyfordHenderson
- Lemauga Lydia SoseneMāngere
- Arena WilliamsManurewa
- Helen WhiteMount Albert
- Jenny SalesaŌtāhuhu
- Vanushi WaltersWaitākere
- Tangi UtikerePalmerston North
- Barbara EdmondsKenepuru
- Chris HipkinsRemutaka
- Reuben DavidsonChristchurch East
- Dominik YanzicknewWigram
- Rachel BrookingDunedin
- Ingrid LearyTaieri
- Willow-Jean PrimeTe Tai Tokerau
- Cushla Tangaere-ManuelIkaroa-Rāwhiti
- Mananui RamsdennewTe Tai Tonga
- Willie JacksonList 4
- Megan WoodsList 5
- Ayesha VerrallList 6
- Kieran McAnultyList 10
- Ginny AndersenList 12
- Rakesh NaidoonewList 13
- Jan TinettiList 15
- Damien O'ConnorList 16
- Jo LuxtonList 17
- Priyanca RadhakrishnanList 18
- Shanan HalbertList 19
- Chris FlattnewList 20
- Kingi KirionanewList 22
- Camilla BelichList 23
- Glen BennettList 25
- Sophie HandfordnewList 26
- Deborah RussellList 27
NZ First
8- Winston PetersList 1
- Shane JonesList 2
- Casey CostelloList 3
- Mark PattersonList 4
- Alfred NgaronewList 5
- Michael LawsnewList 6
- Harete Hipango-BrownlienewList 7
- Craig StobonewList 8
National
48- Christopher LuxonBotany
- Erica StanfordEast Coast Bays
- Greg FlemingMaungakiekie
- Carlos CheungMount Roskill
- Simon WattsNorth Shore
- Dan BidoisNorthcote
- Simeon BrownPakuranga
- Emma ChattertonnewPapakura
- Rima NakhleTakanini
- Mahesh MuralidharnewTāmaki
- Cameron BrewerUpper Harbour
- Mark MitchellWhangaparāoa
- Grant McCallumNorthland
- Lloyd BuddnewWhangārei
- Jessica RowenewKaipara ki Mahurangi
- Scott SimpsonCoromandel
- Ryan HamiltonHamilton East
- Tama PotakaHamilton West
- Matthew PaulnewPort Waikato
- Tim van de MolenWaikato
- Dana KirkpatrickEast Cape
- Tom RutherfordMount Maunganui
- Todd McClayRotorua
- Sam UffindellTauranga
- Louise UpstonTaupō
- David MacLeodNew Plymouth
- Barbara KurigerTaranaki-King Country
- Carl BatesWhanganui
- Suze RedmayneRangitīkei
- Katie NimonNapier
- Catherine WeddTukituki
- Mike ButterickWairarapa
- Tim CostleyKapiti
- Chris BishopHutt South
- Stuart SmithKaikōura
- Blair CameronnewNelson
- Katie MilnenewWest Coast-Tasman
- Matt DooceyWaimakariri
- Dale StephensnewChristchurch Central
- Vanessa WeeninkBanks Peninsula
- Hamish CampbellIlam
- Nicola GriggSelwyn
- James MeagerRangitata
- Miles AndersonWaitaki
- Penny SimmondsInvercargill
- Joseph MooneySouthland
- Nicola WillisList 2
- Paul GoldsmithList 6
ACT
11- David SeymourEpsom
- Nicole McKeeList 2
- Andrew HoggardList 3
- Paul HenrynewList 4
- Karen ChhourList 5
- Todd StephensonList 6
- James ChristmasnewList 7
- Simon CourtList 8
- Laura McClureList 9
- Parmjeet ParmarList 10
- Iain MurraynewList 11
Class of 2026
23 people who are not in the current House.
- Emma ChattertonNAT · Papakura
- Mahesh MuralidharNAT · Tāmaki
- Lloyd BuddNAT · Whangārei
- Jessica RoweNAT · Kaipara ki Mahurangi
- Matthew PaulNAT · Port Waikato
- Blair CameronNAT · Nelson
- Katie MilneNAT · West Coast-Tasman
- Dale StephensNAT · Christchurch Central
- Dominik YanzickLAB · Wigram
- Mananui RamsdenLAB · Te Tai Tonga
- Rakesh NaidooLAB · List 13
- Chris FlattLAB · List 20
- Kingi KirionaLAB · List 22
- Sophie HandfordLAB · List 26
- Tania WaikatoGRN · List 13
- Craig PaulingGRN · List 14
- Paul HenryACT · List 4
- James ChristmasACT · List 7
- Iain MurrayACT · List 11
- Alfred NgaroNZF · List 5
- Michael LawsNZF · List 6
- Harete Hipango-BrownlieNZF · List 7
- Craig StoboNZF · List 8
Not returned
15 sitting MPs standing again who do not get a seat. Voluntary retirements are not listed.
- Gerry BrownleeNot returned
List 9 · National entitled to 48
- Nancy LuNot returned
List 16 · National entitled to 48
- Melissa LeeNot returned
Lost Mount Albert · list 30, party has 48 seats
- Tracey McLellanNot returned
Lost Banks Peninsula · list 28, party has 34 seats
- Georgie DanseyNot returned
Lost Hamilton East · list 33, party has 34 seats
- Dan RosewarneNot returned
Lost Waimakariri · list 36, party has 34 seats
- Rachel BoyackNot returned
Lost Nelson · list 37, party has 34 seats
- Mike DavidsonNot returned
Lost Ilam · list 20, party has 15 seats
- Cameron LuxtonNot returned
Lost Mount Maunganui · list 12, party has 11 seats
- Jenny MarcroftNot returned
Lost Kaipara ki Mahurangi · list 10, party has 8 seats
- Andy FosterNot returned
Lost Remutaka · list 11, party has 8 seats
- David WilsonNot returned
Lost Henderson · list 12, party has 8 seats
- Jamie ArbuckleNot returned
Lost Kaikōura · list 13, party has 8 seats
- Mariameno Kapa-KingiNot returned
Lost Te Tai Tokerau; not on the party list
- Tākuta FerrisNot returned
Lost Te Tai Tonga; not on the party list
Electorates
Seats are decided by the model based on the party vote. Adjust a seat's lean or call a seat to override the model's prediction.
Auckland
- GRN
Auckland Central
Chlöe Swarbrick (+13.9%)
GRN hold
Green won in 2023 by 3,896 votes
Candace Kinser (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Botany
Christopher Luxon (+46.6%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 16,323 votes
Neru Leavasa (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
East Coast Bays
Erica Stanford (+53.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 20,353 votes
Brendan McEnroe (LAB) is the runner up
- ACT
Epsom
David Seymour (+20.5%)
ACT hold
ACT won in 2023 by 8,142 votes
Paul Goldsmith (NAT) is the runner up
- LAB
Glendene
Carmel Sepuloni (+13.6%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 4,396 votes
Sunil Kumar (NAT) is the runner up
- LAB
Henderson
Phil Twyford (+0.4%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 131 votes
Angee Nicholas (NAT) is the runner up
- LAB
Māngere
Lemauga Lydia Sosene (+41.5%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 11,712 votes
Rosemary Bourke (NAT) is the runner up
- LAB
Manurewa
Arena Williams (+25.4%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 7,113 votes
Ghouse Majeed (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Maungakiekie
Greg Fleming (+13.2%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 4,617 votes
Priyanca Radhakrishnan (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Mount Albert
Helen White (+0.0%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 18 votes
Melissa Lee (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Mount Roskill
Carlos Cheung (+4.6%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 1,564 votes
Michael Wood (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
North Shore
Simon Watts (+40.4%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 16,330 votes
Sam Collins (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Northcote
Dan Bidois (+24.5%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 9,270 votes
Shanan Halbert (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Ōtāhuhu
Jenny Salesa (+27.6%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 7,970 votes
Lalit Arya (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Pakuranga
Simeon Brown (+51.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 18,710 votes
Campbell Matthews (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Papakura
Emma Chatterton (+32.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 13,519 votes
Anahila Kanongata'a (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Takanini
Rima Nakhle (+15.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 4,210 votes
Kharag Singh (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Tāmaki
Mahesh Muralidhar (+10.2%)
flipped ACT to NAT
ACT won in 2023 by 4,158 votes
James Christmas (ACT) is the runner up
- NAT
Upper Harbour
Cameron Brewer (+26.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 11,192 votes
Hannah Pia Baral (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Waitākere
Vanushi Walters (+6.1%)
flipped NAT to LAB
National won in 2023 by 1,013 votes
Agnes Loheni (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Whangaparāoa
Mark Mitchell (+50.5%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 23,376 votes
Estefania Muller-Pallarès (LAB) is the runner up
Upper North Island
- NAT
Northland
Grant McCallum (+13.4%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 6,087 votes
Ashleigh Latimer (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Whangārei
Lloyd Budd (+23.7%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 11,424 votes
Gary Payinda (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Kaipara ki Mahurangi
Jessica Rowe (+40.0%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 19,459 votes
Jo Swinburn (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Coromandel
Scott Simpson (+37.5%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 17,349 votes
Glen Bennett (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Hamilton East
Ryan Hamilton (+15.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 5,060 votes
Georgie Dansey (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Hamilton West
Tama Potaka (+21.2%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 6,488 votes
Myra Williamson (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Port Waikato
Matthew Paul (+23.2%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 8,775 votes
Candidate TBD (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Waikato
Tim van de Molen (+44.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 18,548 votes
Jamie Toko (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
East Cape
Dana Kirkpatrick (+17.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 3,199 votes
Jo Luxton (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Mount Maunganui
Tom Rutherford (+34.6%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 15,405 votes
Rhieve Grey (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Rotorua
Todd McClay (+24.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 8,923 votes
Fisher Wang (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Tauranga
Sam Uffindell (+22.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 9,370 votes
Jan Tinetti (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Taupō
Louise Upston (+38.4%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 16,505 votes
Chris Flatt (LAB) is the runner up
Central North Island
- NAT
New Plymouth
David MacLeod (+18.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 6,991 votes
Amanda Clinton-Gohdes (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Taranaki-King Country
Barbara Kuriger (+36.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 14,355 votes
David Pattemore (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Whanganui
Carl Bates (+15.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 5,512 votes
Angela Roberts (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Rangitīkei
Suze Redmayne (+24.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 9,785 votes
Karl Severinsen (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Palmerston North
Tangi Utikere (+4.9%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 3,087 votes
Ankit Bansal (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Napier
Katie Nimon (+22.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 8,909 votes
Alex Hedley (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Tukituki
Catherine Wedd (+24.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 10,118 votes
Dan Scott (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Wairarapa
Mike Butterick (+6.9%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 2,816 votes
Kieran McAnulty (LAB) is the runner up
Wellington
- NAT
Kapiti
Tim Costley (+16.6%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 6,271 votes
Sophie Handford (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Kenepuru
Barbara Edmonds (+17.8%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 7,324 votes
Matthew Evetts (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Hutt South
Chris Bishop (+3.6%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 1,332 votes
Ginny Andersen (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Remutaka
Chris Hipkins (+21.5%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 8,859 votes
Zabeen Lateef (NAT) is the runner up
- GRN
Wellington North
Tamatha Paul (+17.4%)
GRN hold
Green won in 2023 by 6,066 votes
Ayesha Verrall (LAB) is the runner up
- GRN
Wellington Bays
Julie Anne Genter (+9.5%)
GRN hold
Green won in 2023 by 2,717 votes
Craig Renney (LAB) is the runner up
South Island
- NAT
Kaikōura
Stuart Smith (+27.5%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 11,412 votes
Matthew Flight (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Nelson
Blair Cameron (+0.1%)
flipped LAB to NAT
Labour won in 2023 by 26 votes
Rachel Boyack (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
West Coast-Tasman
Katie Milne (+10.4%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 1,017 votes
Rory Paterson (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Waimakariri
Matt Doocey (+28.3%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 13,010 votes
Dan Rosewarne (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Christchurch Central
Dale Stephens (+5.4%)
flipped LAB to NAT
Labour won in 2023 by 1,841 votes
George Hampton (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Christchurch East
Reuben Davidson (+6.3%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 2,397 votes
Alexandra Davids (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Banks Peninsula
Vanessa Weenink (+0.8%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 396 votes
Tracey McLellan (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Ilam
Hamish Campbell (+19.1%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 7,830 votes
Rata Jamieson (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Wigram
Dominik Yanzick (+3.2%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 1,179 votes
Tracy Summerfield (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Selwyn
Nicola Grigg (+41.6%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 19,782 votes
Sunita Gautam (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Rangitata
James Meager (+27.1%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 10,846 votes
Sange Malama (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Waitaki
Miles Anderson (+27.8%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 12,151 votes
Damien O'Connor (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Dunedin
Rachel Brooking (+6.6%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 7,980 votes
Francisco Hernandez (GRN) is the runner up
- LAB
Taieri
Ingrid Leary (+3.5%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 1,443 votes
Matthew French (NAT) is the runner up
- NAT
Invercargill
Penny Simmonds (+26.8%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 9,874 votes
Janice Lee (LAB) is the runner up
- NAT
Southland
Joseph Mooney (+44.1%)
NAT hold
National won in 2023 by 17,211 votes
Peter McDonald (LAB) is the runner up
Māori electorates
- LAB
Te Tai Tokerau
Willow-Jean Prime (+14.8%)
flipped TPM to LAB
Te Pāti Māori won in 2023 by 517 votes
Aperahama Edwards (TPM) is the runner up
- TPM
Tāmaki Makaurau
Oriini Kaipara (+23.2%)
TPM hold
Te Pāti Māori won in 2023 by 42 votes
Kerrin Leoni (IND) is the runner up
- TPM
Hauraki-Waikato
Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke (+12.0%)
TPM hold
Te Pāti Māori won in 2023 by 2,911 votes
Kingi Kiriona (LAB) is the runner up
- TPM
Waiariki
Rawiri Waititi (+56.8%)
TPM hold
Te Pāti Māori won in 2023 by 15,891 votes
Toni Boynton (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Ikaroa-Rāwhiti
Cushla Tangaere-Manuel (+11.0%)
LAB hold
Labour won in 2023 by 2,874 votes
Haley Maxwell (TPM) is the runner up
- TPM
Te Tai Hauāuru
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer (+35.9%)
TPM hold
Te Pāti Māori won in 2023 by 9,162 votes
Te Pūoho Kātene (LAB) is the runner up
- LAB
Te Tai Tonga
Mananui Ramsden (+14.4%)
flipped TPM to LAB
Te Pāti Māori won in 2023 by 2,824 votes
Lisa Marie Murch (TPM) is the runner up